Programme ITACOSM 2017

ITACOSM 2017

The 5th ITAlian COnference on Survey Methodology, 14 - 16 June 2017

Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Bologna, via Belle Arti 41, 40126 Bologna, Italy

June 14th 2017

10.00-11.00 – Registration Room IV

11.00 -11.45 - Opening addresses - Room I

Angela Montanari Head of the Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Bologna

Antonino Rotolo Vice Rector to Research, University of Bologna

Marilena Pillati Deputy Mayor of Bologna Municipality

Monica Pratesi President of the Italian Statistical Society

Elisabetta Carfagna Coordinator of the Survey Sampling Group

M. Giovanna Ranalli P.I. Project PRIN Surwey

 

14th-11.45-12.30 - Keynote Plenary Session - Room I

The role of sample surveys in future official statistics

Chair: Elisabetta Carfagna University of Bologna, Coordinator of the Survey Sampling Group

From survey to multi-source production: innovation in official statistics in Europe

Emanuele Baldacci Director of methodology and corporate statistical and IT services at Eurostat

 

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

 

14th-13:30 – 15:00 Parallel Sessions

14th-13:30 – 15:00 Specialised Invited Session - Estimating the households' income - Room I

Chair: Giorgio Marbach

1.     The survey  on Household Income and Wealth: past, present and way forward Andrea Neri Bank of Italy

2.     Small Area Estimates in the Official Statistics: the case of the poverty risk Emanuele Baldacci, Agne Bikauskaite, Dario Buono Eurostat

3.     Towards the production of integrated statistics on Income Consumption and Wealth: prerequisites and methodological challenges Gabriella Donatiello Marcello D’Orazio, Doriana Frattarola, Mauro Scanu, Mattia Spaziani ISTAT

14th-13:30 – 15:00 Specialised Invited Session - Association structure in complex sample surveys - Room III

Chair: Daniela Marella Roma Tre University

1.     Causal inference under case-control and other outcome dependent sampling Vanessa Didelez Bremen University

2.     PC algorithm for complex survey data via resampling Paola Vicard Roma Tre University

3.     Alternative approaches in statistical matching when sample surveys are drawn according to  complex survey designs Mauro Scanu ISTAT

                                             

14th-13:30 – 15:00 Contributed Session - Complex sample designs - Room IV

Chair: Pier Francesco Perri

1.     Improving the accuracy of total estimates for complex sampling in auditingYves Berger University of Southampton, Paola Maddalena Chiodini University of Milano-Bicocca, Mariangela Zenga University of Milano-Bicocca

2.     Sampling Allocation Strategies: A Simulation-Based Comparison Paola Maddalena Chiodini, Giancarlo Manzi, Bianca Maria Martelli, Flavio Verrecchia Department of Statistics and Quantitative Methods, University of Milano-Bicocca

3.     A Proposal to estimate the stray-dog Total in an urban area Ornella Giambalvo,  Roberto Sichera University of Palermo

4.     Analysis of the mathematics score of the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) in South of Italy using weighted M-quantile random-effects regression                                    Francesco Schirripa Spagnolo University of Naples “Parthenope”, Nicola Salvati University of Pisa, Antonella D'Agostino University of Naples “Parthenope”

 

15:00 – 15:30 Coffee break

14th-15.30-16.15 - Keynote Plenary Session - Room I

The role of sample surveys in future official statistics

Chair: Monica Pratesi University of Pisa, President of the Italian Statistical Society

The role of sample surveys in future official statistics

Giorgio Alleva President of the Italian National Institute of Statistics

 

14th-16:15 – 17:45 Parallel Sessions

14th-16:15 – 17:45 Specialised Invited Session - Survey sampling and design of experiments - Room - I

Chair: Daniela Cocchi University of Bologna

1.     Experimental and sampling plans: are the diverging parallels meeting again? Alessandra Giovagnoli University of Bologna

2.     Collecting Spatial Data: Design and Sampling Werner Müller Johannes Kepler University, Linz

3.     The anticipated variance as a measure for the accuracy of complex multi sources statistics Paolo Righi, Piero Demetrio Falorsi, Stefano Falorsi, Fabrizio Solari ISTAT

4.     Big Data and optimal design of experiments in model-based sampling survey Chiara Tommasi University of Milano

 

14th-16:15 – 17:45 Specialised Invited Session - Quantile models and their application in sample survey data - Room III

Chair: Nicola Salvati University of Pisa

1.      Prediction Intervals in Quantile Regression Domenico Vistocco, Davide Passaretti Universiy of Cassino

2.     Semiparametric M-quantile random effect modelling for environmental surveys: the case of indoor radon concentration in Lombardy Riccardo Borgoni, Antonella Carcagnì Milano Bicocca University

3.     Quantile and M-quantile regression with linked data Enrico Fabrizi, Elena Calegari Cattolica University

 


14th-16:15 – 17:45 Contributed Session - Combining different lists - Room IV

Chair: Fulvia Mecatti

1.     Statistical Matching with non-parametric micro techniques: some developments        Riccardo D’Alberto, Meri Raggi University of Bologna

2.     Statistical matching under informative probability Sampling, Daniela Marella Roma Tre University, Danny Pfeffermann Central Bureau of Statistics, Israel, University of Southampton, Hebrew University of Jerusalem

3.     Achieving consistency between estimates of demographic stocks and flows through balancing methods Marco di Zio, Marco Fortini, Diego Zardetto ISTAT

 

14th-17:45 – 21:00 WELCOME COCKTAIL

 

 

June 15th 2017

 

15th-9:00-10:30 Parallel Sessions

15th-9:00-10:30 Specialised Invited Session - Administrative registers, big data, geospatial data and sample surveys - Room I

Chair: Roberto Benedetti University of Chieti-Pescara

1.     Integration of administrative sources and survey data through Hidden Markov Models for the production of labour statistics Danila Filipponi, Ugo Guarnera ISTAT

2.     Joint use of sampling data and Big Data: the experience with the ISTAT survey on the use of ICT by enterprises Giulio Barcaroli, A. Nurra, Federica Piersimoni, S. Salamone, M. Scarnò ISTAT

3.     Design based inference on spatial totals with Elastic-Net regularization Giorgio Eduardo Montanari University of Perugia

 

15th-9:00-10:30 Specialised Invited Session - Sample surveys for sensitive data - Room III

Chair: M. Giovanna Ranalli University of Perugia

1.     Objective Bayesian estimation of sensitive data from a dichotomous population Maria Maddalena Barbieri Roma Tre University  

2.     Methodological advances and software for indirect questioning techniques Beatriz Cobo Rodríguez, Maria del Mar Rueda University of Granada

3.     Eliciting sensitive data by using indirect questioning techniques: evidences from some real studies Pier Francesco Perri University of Calabria

 

15th-9:00-10:30 Specialised Invited Session - Pursuing quality and comparability in cross-national surveys - Room IV

Chair: Ineke Stoop The Netherlands Institute for Social Research/SCP, ESS- ERIC

1.     Availability and quality of sampling frames in cross-national surveys Annette Scherpenzeel Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA)

2.     Assessment of socio-demographic sample composition in the European Social Survey Achim Koch Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences, Mannheim/Germany

3.     Who are the users? And what should they know? Luca Salini ESS-ERIC, City, University of London

 

15th-10.30 -11:00 – Coffee break

 

15th-11:00-11:45 - Keynote Plenary Session - Room I

Chair: Giuseppe Cicchitelli University of Perugia

Empirical processes and resampling from finite populations: the pseudo-population approach

Pier Luigi Conti Sapienza University

 

15 th-11:45-13:15 – Parallel Sessions

15th-11:45-13:15 Specialised Invited Session - Web data collection: challenges and future perspectives - Room I

Chair: Alessandra Petrucci University of Firenze and Susanna Zaccarin University of Trieste

1.     Nonresponse in web surveys Katja Lozar Manfreda University of Lubiana

2.     Web scraping and text classification: comparing methods Arjuna Tuzzi, Stefano Sbalchiero University of Padova

3.     An experimental web survey on income and wealth among the Italian Households Martina Lo Conte, Manuela Murgia, Giulio Barcaroli ISTAT,  Andrea Neri, Giuseppina Papadia, Francesca Zanichelli Bank of Italy

 

15th-11:45-13:15 Specialised Invited Session - Adaptive sample designs - Room III

Chair: Silvia Biffignandi Bergamo University

1.     Adaptive Survey Design with mode as a design feature Annamaria Bianchi University of Bergamo, Barry Schouten Statistics Netherlands and Utrecht University

2.     Some comments on response imbalance and nonresponse bias Peter Lundquist Statistics Sweden

3.     Sequential Adaptive Sampling for Rare Populations Fulvia Mecatti Milano Bicocca University

 

15th-11:45- 13:15 Contributed Session - Small area estimators - Room – IV

Chair: Enrico Fabrizi Cattolica University

1.     On the simulation study of the properties of MSE estimators in small area estimation in the case of some model misspecifications Małgorzata Krzciuk University of Economics in Katowice

2.     Small area estimation of poverty indicators using interval censored income data Paul Walter, Marcus Groß, Timo Schmid Freie Universität Berlin, Germany, Nikos Tzavidis University of Southampton, United Kingdom

3.     Estimation of quantiles based on Fay-Herriot models Ann-Kristin Kreutzmann Freie Universität Berlin, Germany, Nicola Salvati Università di Pisa, Italy, Timo Schmid Freie Universität Berlin, Germany

 

 

15th-13:15 – 14:15 Lunch

 

15th-14:15 – 15:45 Parallel Sessions

15th-14:15 – 15:45 Specialised Invited Session - Emerging challenges in survey statistics - Room I

Chair: Fulvia Mecatti Milano Bicocca University

1.     Sampling and modelling challenges for complex systems in modern biomedicine Mariaclelia Di Serio University Vita-Salute San Raffaele, Lugano Unversity

2.     What do we really know about Twitter data? The pitfalls of Twitter sampling methodology: a literature review Anna Calissano Politecnico di Milano

3.     Surveys and studies to inform tuberculosis burden estimation; optimal sampling solutions wanted Sismanidis Chalarampos TME (TB Monitoring & Evaluation) StopTB Department, WHO-HD Geneva

 

15th-14:15 – 15:45 Specialised Invited Session - Non-sampling errors - Room III

Chair: Emilia Rocco University of Firenze

1.     Handling nonignorable nonresponse for mixture distribution data Alina Matei University of Neuchatel, Caren Hasler  University of Toronto Scarborough

2.     Mean curve estimation with missing data Camelia Goga, Hervé Cardot University of Bourgogne, Anne De Moliner EDF Palaisseau

3.     Non sampling errors in household surveys: the Bank of Italy's experience Andrea Neri Bank of Italy

 

15th-14:15 – 15:45 Contributed Session - Spatial phenomena - Room IV

Chair: Alessandra Petrucci

1.     Kriging-assisted spatial sampling Tomasz Bąk University of Economics in Katowice

2.     Addressing multiplicity in ground surveys for nomadic and semi-nomadic livestock enumeration Dramane Bako Statistician, International consultant

3.     Survey methodologies for accurate and efficient landscape analysis and monitoring supporting rural planning Stefano Benni, Elisabetta Carfagna, Daniele Torreggiani, Patrizia Tassinari University of Bologna

 

15th-15.45 -16:15 – Coffee break

 

15th-16:15 – 17:00 Keynote Plenary Session - Room I

Chair: Daniela Cocchi and Carlo Trivisano University of Bologna

Statistical Challenges of Survey Sampling and Big Data

Andrew Gelman Columbia University

 

15th-20:00 social dinner

 

June 16th 2017

 

16th-09.00-10:30 Parallel Sessions

16th-09.00-10:30 Specialised Invited Session - Estimation issues from complex sample designs - Room I

Chair: Maria Giovanna Ranalli University of Perugia

1.     Survey estimators that respect natural orderings Jean D. Opsomer, Mary Meyer, Cristian Oliva Colorado State University

2.     Estimation under cross-classified sampling with application to the ELFE survey Anne Ruiz-Gazen Toulose University, Hélène Juillard, Guillaume Chauvet (Insee-ENSAI)

3.     Census and social surveys integrated system Stefano Falorsi, F. Solari, Aandrea Fasulo, M. d’Alò ISTAT

                             

16th-09.00-10:30 Specialised Invited Session - Session: Small area estimation - Room III

Chair: Enrico Fabrizi Cattolica University

1.     On prediction for domains based on longitudinal data Tomasz Żądło University of Economics in Katowice

2.     Nonparametric maximum likelihood for the estimation of small area unemployment rates from the Italian Labour Force Survey Maria Francesca Marino University of Perugia

3.     Small domain estimation using multivariate skew normal models Silvia Pacei, Maria Rosaria Ferrante University of Bologna

 

16th-09.00-10:30 Contributed Session - Session: Administrative data and registers - Room IV

Chair: Pier Luigi Conti Sapienza University

1.     A Special Case of integrating administrative data and collection data in the context of the 2016 Canadian Census Josée Morel, Statistics Canada

2.     Lessons from the use of administrative and web data in UK social surveys Chris White UK Office for Official Statistics

3.     Quality assessment of statistical registers, Roberta Varriale Orietta Luzi, Fabiana Rocci, Roberto Sanzo ISTAT

 

16th-10:30 -11:00 – Coffee break

 

16th-11:00 – 11:45 Keynote Plenary Session - Room 1

Chair: Fulvia Mecatti Milano Bicocca University

Recent Developments in Survey Sampling Practice

Graham Kalton Westat, USA

11:45- 13:15 Parallel Sessions

16th-11:45- 13:15 Specialised Invited Session - Spatial sampling and use of remote sensing data – Room I

Chair: Lorenzo Fattorini University of Siena and Roberto Benedetti University of Chieti-Pescara

1.     Coordination of spatially balanced samples Anton Grafström Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences Alina Matei University of Neuchatel

2.     Estimating the variance in spatial designs Giuseppe Espa, Emanuele Taufer University of Trento, Roberto Benedetti University of Chieti-Pescara

3.     Sampling for the validation of global thematic maps F. Javier Gallego Joint Research Centre

 

16th-11:45- 13:15 Specialised Invited Session - Selection challenges in impact assessment - Room – III

Chair: Elisabetta Carfagna University of Bologna

1.     Which schools and pupils respond to educational achievement surveys? A focus on the English PISA sample Sylke V. Schnepf Department of Social Statistics and Demography, University of Southampton, UK, Joint Research Centre

2.     Outcome monitoring in EU funded development programmes Franco Conzato European Commission, Directorate General for International Development and Cooperation, Bruxelles

3.     Counterfactual impact evaluation of EU spending and regulatory programmes Paolo Paruolo, Sylke V. Schnepf European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Competence Centre on Microeconomic Evaluation

 

16th-11:45-13:15 Contributed Session - Data collection issues - Room IV

Chair: M. Giovanna Ranalli University of Perugia

1.     Mode measurement effects, an explorative study based on multigroup confirmatory factor analysis Orietta Luzi, Roberta Varriale, Ilaria Vannini ISTAT

2.     Design-based estimation of the prevalence of a multicategorical sensitive question in finite populations Camilo Moceton, Leonardo Trujillo Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogota

3.     Methods for treating bias in ISTAT mixed mode social surveys Claudia De Vitiis, Alessio Guandalini, Francesca Inglese, Marco D. Terribili ISTAT

4.     Disentangling the role of welfare regime and persistent cultural traits on demographic behaviours. Insights from a quasi-experimental design in France Roberto Impicciatore University of Bologna